Investing in Urban Areas. Don’t Bet Against It.

Audio transcription: One of the mistakes I commonly see real estate investors make is they look specifically at sectors and macro locations for their investment decisions. So for instance, you’ll find the investor that all will aspires to do multifamily or always wants to do industrial, or always does office, or they always do development.There’s a lot of capital flow right now into new development, but we fail to take into account the conceptual, the programmatic difference. Yet even a meta theme like urbanization. urbanization is an over 100 year trend where people are moving into cities, not away from cities. Now if people are moving into cities over a 100 years, what does that tell us where our capital should move? Almost all new development capital is flowing out to the suburbs, is flowing further away from the urban areas, not towards the urban areas.That’s something worth considering if you’re a real estate investor. Do you want your capital going where the population has been going over the last hundred years or do you want to go away from where the population is going? And the common rebuttal that I’ll receive is “Rick, during the pandemic, people have moved out of the cities. They vacated the cities.” That’s not what the researchers are saying. Try to go buy a house inside of urban market, especially one of the top ten fastest growing major US markets like Phoenix, like Miami, Houston, Austin, Dallas, all these markets, these sunbelt markets, you’re not going to be able to find a place to live in the urban centers. Why? The urban allure is the energy. There is very little energy out into the suburbs. This is not something that’s philosophically stated. This is something that’s factually stated. There is more going on in the urban centers. Even with the Pandemic stone place, even with maybe work not returning. Don’t try to stop a 100 year medicine. Don’t bet against 100 year meta theme.

 

What is Urbanization? Why is it Important to Understand?

Urbanization is the process by which more and more people leave rural areas to live in urban areas. It’s important to understand as this is happening throughout all major cities in the U.S., especially through the Sun Belt region. This shifting trend changes the way people live and how cities and economies thrive. It’s more than a shifting downtown skyline. It’s the core of how a city or urban area thrives.

 

Change can seem slow. A new building rises, one floor at a time. A new subdivision breaks ground with two homes, and then four. A new transit line is planned, and years pass. What it all adds up o can be hard to see.

A Decade of Urban Transformation, Seen From Above by Emily Badger and Quoctrung Bui

 

What Causes Urbanization?

As global trends have changed, affecting the way people live and work, people have changed the way they live to succeed, thrive, and prosper. The CEO of a Fortune 500 Company wouldn’t choose to live in Sealy, TX over River Oaks in Houston, TX. It takes time, but this change happens over decades as more development creates improved opportunities for the population. And overall, people will move to where the jobs are. There are more and improved commercial opportunities and returns in an urban area compared to a rural area. Nine of the 20 counties in the U.S. that have experience the most development this decade are in Texas, per the NY Times article A Decade of Urban Transformation, Seen From Above.

 

Benefits and Challenges of Urbanization

We know there is cause and effect for everything under the sun, and urbanization is no exception. With urbanization, there are challenges each city will face. Such as overcrowding and housing problems, unemployment, traffic congestion (ask any Houstonian about this one), an uptick of urban crime and more. There are also benefits of urbanization, such as urban growth generates revenue that funds infrastructure projects, which in turn improves lives all around. A great example of this is the Texas Medical Center. Urbanization has generated revenue to fund this medical sector, which in turn has improved research and the lives of people all over Texas (not just Houston).

 

Investing in Urban Areas. Don’t Bet Against It.

The emergence of smart cities creates a promise of the creation of business opportunities. When cities see this type of divergence, they should work with the private sector to extract the most out of it. Urbanization creates space for creating good for the economy and the planet. Yes, urbanization is good for the environment. Folks who choose to move and live in urban areas also look for efficiency. They shop online and look for faster delivery times. To achieve these standards, companies with distribution centers build urban minded locations. They develop new warehouses with efficient items such as led units. Cities are also developing public transit to to help with the new urban population.

 

At Stratiq Capital, we specialize in successfully partnering with investors on their next big project. For more information and guidance on investing in medical office buildings, connect with one of our investment experts today.